The FanGraphs 2025 Staff Predictions

Nathan Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images

After an offseason marked by big free agent deals, ballpark and RSN uncertainty, and a whole lot of handwringing concerning the Los Angeles Dodgers, the 2025 season is almost upon us; we made it. And on this, the morning of Opening Day, we engage in our annual tradition of asking our staff to open themselves up to public ridicule by trying to predict the year in baseball. Some of these predictions will prove to be prescient; others will make their forecaster feel a little silly. Such is the prognostication business.

I asked the staff to predict the playoff field, as well as the pennant and World Series winners, and the individual award recipients. Folks from FanGraphs and RotoGraphs weighed in. Here are the results. Please note that the tables at the end showing the full writer ballots are sortable.

American League

American League West

Team Division Wild Card 1 Wild Card 2 Wild Card 3 Playoffs Texas Rangers 12 5 2 2 21 Seattle Mariners 9 2 4 3 18 Houston Astros 4 2 5 4 15 Los Angeles Angels 1 0 0 1 2 Athletics 0 0 0 0 0

American League Central

Team Division Wild Card 1 Wild Card 2 Wild Card 3 Playoffs Detroit Tigers 11 0 0 2 13 Minnesota Twins 8 0 3 3 14 Kansas City Royals 5 1 3 4 13 Cleveland Guardians 2 0 0 1 3 Chicago White Sox 0 0 0 0 0

American League East

Team Division Wild Card 1 Wild Card 2 Wild Card 3 Playoffs Boston Red Sox 14 4 4 2 24 Baltimore Orioles 4 6 4 2 16 New York Yankees 4 5 0 2 11 Tampa Bay Rays 3 0 1 0 4 Toronto Blue Jays 1 1 0 0 2

American League One Seed

Team Votes Boston Red Sox 12 Texas Rangers 5 Houston Astros 2 Baltimore Orioles 2 Detroit Tigers 2 New York Yankees 2 Seattle Mariners 1

American League Two Seed

Team Votes Texas Rangers 7 Seattle Mariners 6 Baltimore Orioles 2 Boston Red Sox 2 Kansas City Royals 2 New York Yankees 2 Tampa Bay Rays 2 Houston Astros 1 Minnesota Twins 1 Toronto Blue Jays 1

National League

National League West

Team Division Wild Card 1 Wild Card 2 Wild Card 3 Playoffs Los Angeles Dodgers 25 1 0 0 26 Arizona Diamondbacks 1 6 10 5 22 San Diego Padres 0 0 0 3 3 San Francisco Giants 0 0 0 1 1 Colorado Rockies 0 0 0 0 0

National League Central

Team Division Wild Card 1 Wild Card 2 Wild Card 3 Playoffs Chicago Cubs 15 0 0 0 15 Milwaukee Brewers 7 0 0 3 10 Cincinnati Reds 3 0 0 0 3 St. Louis Cardinals 1 0 0 0 1 Pittsburgh Pirates 0 0 0 0 0

National League East

Team Division Wild Card 1 Wild Card 2 Wild Card 3 Playoffs Atlanta Braves 12 6 7 1 26 Philadelphia Phillies 11 7 2 6 26 New York Mets 3 6 7 7 23 Washington Nationals 0 0 0 0 0 Miami Marlins 0 0 0 0 0

National League One Seed

Team Votes Los Angeles Dodgers 25 New York Mets 1

National League Two Seed

Team Votes Atlanta Braves 12 Philadelphia Phillies 11 New York Mets 2 Arizona Diamondbacks 1

Pennant and World Series Winners

American League Pennant Winner

Team Votes Boston Red Sox 9 Texas Rangers 4 Seattle Mariners 3 Baltimore Orioles 2 Minnesota Twins 2 New York Yankees 2 Houston Astros 1 Toronto Blue Jays 1 Tampa Bay Rays 1 Detroit Tigers 1

National League Pennant Winner

Team Votes Los Angeles Dodgers 15 Arizona Diamondbacks 4 Atlanta Braves 3 Philadelphia Phillies 3 New York Mets 1

World Series Matchups

Team Votes Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers 6 Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers 2 Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers 2 Boston Red Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks 2 Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers 1 Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Phillies 1 Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Braves 1 Tampa Bay Rays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks 1 Seattle Mariners vs. New York Mets 1 New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Dodgers 1 New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks 1 Minnesota Twins vs. Philadelphia Phillies 1 Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers 1 Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Dodgers 1 Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers 1 Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves 1 Baltimore Orioles vs. Philadelphia Phillies 1 Baltimore Orioles vs. Atlanta Braves 1

World Series Winner

Team Votes Los Angeles Dodgers 13 Philadelphia Phillies 3 Boston Red Sox 3 Atlanta Braves 2 Arizona Diamondbacks 2 New York Mets 1 Texas Rangers 1 New York Yankees 1

Individual Awards

Staff Predictions – Full Ballots

American League Full Writer Ballots

Writer West Central East WC1 WC2 WC3 1 Seed 2 Seed Ariel Cohen SEA KCR BOS NYY HOU MIN BOS KCR Ben Clemens SEA DET BOS BAL MIN TEX BOS SEA Chad Young SEA MIN BOS TEX BAL KCR BOS SEA Dan Szymborski HOU DET BAL NYY BOS SEA HOU BAL David Gerth HOU KCR BOS TEX BAL DET BOS HOU David Laurila HOU DET BAL KCR BOS MIN DET BAL Davy Andrews TEX MIN BOS BAL HOU SEA BOS TEX Eric Longenhagen TEX DET TBR BOS MIN KCR DET TEX Esteban Rivera TEX DET NYY SEA BAL BOS NYY TEX Jake Mailhot SEA DET BOS BAL TEX HOU BOS SEA James Fegan TEX DET BOS BAL KCR SEA BOS TEX Jason Martinez LAA KCR BOS TOR SEA MIN BOS KCR Jay Jaffe TEX DET BOS BAL SEA HOU BOS TEX Jeff Zimmerman HOU KCR TOR TEX MIN NYY HOU TOR Joe Orrico TEX MIN TBR BOS HOU KCR TEX TBR Jon Becker TEX CLE BOS NYY BAL HOU BOS TEX Jordan Rosenblum SEA MIN NYY HOU TBR BOS SEA NYY Justin Mason TEX MIN NYY BOS KCR HOU NYY TEX Kiri Oler TEX KCR BOS BAL SEA CLE TEX BOS Leo Morgenstern SEA MIN BAL TEX HOU NYY BAL MIN Matt Martell TEX DET NYY BOS SEA KCR TEX NYY Meg Rowley SEA MIN BOS NYY KCR TEX BOS SEA Michael Baumann TEX DET BOS SEA HOU BAL TEX BOS Michael Rosen SEA CLE BAL TEX BOS LAA BAL SEA Mike Podhorzer SEA DET BOS NYY TEX BAL BOS SEA Paul Sporer TEX MIN TBR HOU BOS DET TEX TBR

American League Individual Awards

Writer MVP Cy Young RoY Ariel Cohen Aaron Judge Garrett Crochet Jasson Domínguez Ben Clemens Rafael Devers Tarik Skubal Roman Anthony Chad Young Alex Bregman Garrett Crochet Cam Smith Dan Szymborski Bobby Witt Jr. Garrett Crochet Jacob Wilson David Gerth Junior Caminero Hunter Brown Jasson Domínguez David Laurila Riley Greene Logan Gilbert Jackson Jobe Davy Andrews Bobby Witt Jr. Cole Ragans Kristian Campbell Eric Longenhagen Bobby Witt Jr. Framber Valdez Kristian Campbell Esteban Rivera Aaron Judge Jacob deGrom Jac Caglianone Jake Mailhot Bobby Witt Jr. Logan Gilbert Jacob Wilson James Fegan Bobby Witt Jr. Garrett Crochet Jackson Jobe Jason Martinez Mike Trout Garrett Crochet Kristian Campbell Jay Jaffe Bobby Witt Jr. Cole Ragans Kristian Campbell Jeff Zimmerman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Logan Gilbert Alan Roden Joe Orrico Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Jacob deGrom Cam Smith Jon Becker Bobby Witt Jr. Garrett Crochet Jacob Wilson Jordan Rosenblum Aaron Judge Tarik Skubal Kumar Rocker Justin Mason Bobby Witt Jr. Tarik Skubal Roman Anthony Kiri Oler Gunnar Henderson Jacob deGrom Jacob Wilson Leo Morgenstern Gunnar Henderson Jacob deGrom Jackson Jobe Matt Martell Cal Raleigh Logan Gilbert Jasson Domínguez Meg Rowley José Ramírez Cole Ragans Kristian Campbell Michael Baumann Yordan Alvarez Tarik Skubal Jackson Jobe Michael Rosen Wyatt Langford Bryan Woo Jack Leiter Mike Podhorzer Bobby Witt Jr. Garrett Crochet Jasson Domínguez Paul Sporer Yordan Alvarez Cole Ragans Jackson Jobe

National League Full Writer Ballots

Writer West Central East WC1 WC2 WC3 1 Seed 2 Seed Ariel Cohen LAD CHC ATL PHI NYM ARI LAD ATL Ben Clemens LAD MIL ATL PHI NYM SFG LAD ATL Chad Young LAD CHC ATL NYM PHI MIL LAD ATL Dan Szymborski LAD CHC PHI ARI ATL NYM LAD PHI David Gerth LAD MIL NYM ARI ATL PHI LAD NYM David Laurila LAD CIN PHI ATL ARI MIL LAD PHI Davy Andrews LAD CHC ATL NYM ARI PHI LAD ATL Eric Longenhagen LAD CIN PHI ATL ARI MIL LAD PHI Esteban Rivera LAD MIL ATL PHI ARI NYM LAD ATL Jake Mailhot LAD CHC ATL PHI ARI NYM LAD ATL James Fegan LAD MIL NYM PHI ATL ARI LAD NYM Jason Martinez ARI CIN NYM LAD ATL PHI NYM ARI Jay Jaffe LAD MIL ATL NYM ARI PHI LAD ATL Jeff Zimmerman LAD STL PHI ATL NYM SDP LAD PHI Joe Orrico LAD CHC ATL NYM ARI PHI LAD ATL Jon Becker LAD CHC PHI ARI NYM ATL LAD PHI Jordan Rosenblum LAD CHC ATL PHI NYM ARI LAD ATL Justin Mason LAD CHC PHI ATL ARI NYM LAD PHI Kiri Oler LAD MIL PHI ATL ARI SDP LAD PHI Leo Morgenstern LAD CHC ATL NYM PHI ARI LAD ATL Matt Martell LAD CHC PHI ARI ATL NYM LAD PHI Meg Rowley LAD CHC PHI ATL ARI NYM LAD PHI Michael Baumann LAD CHC PHI ARI ATL NYM LAD PHI Michael Rosen LAD MIL PHI NYM ATL SDP LAD PHI Mike Podhorzer LAD CHC ATL PHI NYM ARI LAD ATL Paul Sporer LAD CHC ATL ARI NYM PHI LAD ATL

National League Individual Awards

Writer MVP Cy Young RoY Ariel Cohen Shohei Ohtani Paul Skenes Roki Sasaki Ben Clemens Shohei Ohtani Paul Skenes Dylan Crews Chad Young Kyle Tucker Paul Skenes Roki Sasaki Dan Szymborski Shohei Ohtani Zack Wheeler Dylan Crews David Gerth Elly De La Cruz Paul Skenes Roki Sasaki David Laurila Jackson Chourio Logan Webb Chase Dollander Davy Andrews Elly De La Cruz Paul Skenes Roki Sasaki Eric Longenhagen William Contreras Cristopher Sánchez Drake Baldwin Esteban Rivera Juan Soto Paul Skenes Dylan Crews Jake Mailhot Shohei Ohtani Paul Skenes Roki Sasaki James Fegan William Contreras Logan Webb Rhett Lowder Jason Martinez Elly De La Cruz Corbin Burnes Dylan Crews Jay Jaffe Juan Soto Paul Skenes Roki Sasaki Jeff Zimmerman Fernando Tatis Jr. Cristopher Sánchez Logan Henderson Joe Orrico Shohei Ohtani Paul Skenes Matt Shaw Jon Becker Juan Soto Paul Skenes Dylan Crews Jordan Rosenblum Shohei Ohtani Paul Skenes Roki Sasaki Justin Mason Shohei Ohtani Zack Wheeler Dylan Crews Kiri Oler Juan Soto Zack Wheeler Roki Sasaki Leo Morgenstern Juan Soto Yoshinobu Yamamoto Matt Shaw Matt Martell Corbin Carroll Zack Wheeler Drake Baldwin Meg Rowley Elly De La Cruz Zack Wheeler Dylan Crews Michael Baumann Shohei Ohtani Paul Skenes Matt Shaw Michael Rosen Juan Soto Paul Skenes Dylan Crews Mike Podhorzer Elly De La Cruz Tyler Glasnow Roki Sasaki Paul Sporer Fernando Tatis Jr. Zack Wheeler Dylan Crews

Pennant and World Series Winners

Writer AL Pennant Winner NL Pennant Winner World Series Winner Ariel Cohen Boston Red Sox Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers Ben Clemens Boston Red Sox Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves Chad Young Baltimore Orioles Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves Dan Szymborski Houston Astros Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers David Gerth Boston Red Sox Los Angeles Dodgers Boston Red Sox David Laurila Baltimore Orioles Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies Davy Andrews Minnesota Twins Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies Eric Longenhagen Detroit Tigers Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers Esteban Rivera New York Yankees Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers Jake Mailhot Seattle Mariners Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers James Fegan Boston Red Sox Arizona Diamondbacks Boston Red Sox Jason Martinez Boston Red Sox Los Angeles Dodgers Boston Red Sox Jay Jaffe Boston Red Sox Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers Jeff Zimmerman Toronto Blue Jays Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers Joe Orrico Texas Rangers Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers Jon Becker Boston Red Sox Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks Jordan Rosenblum Seattle Mariners Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers Justin Mason Texas Rangers Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies Kiri Oler Texas Rangers Atlanta Braves Texas Rangers Leo Morgenstern Minnesota Twins Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers Matt Martell New York Yankees Arizona Diamondbacks New York Yankees Meg Rowley Boston Red Sox Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers Michael Baumann Texas Rangers Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers Michael Rosen Seattle Mariners New York Mets New York Mets Mike Podhorzer Boston Red Sox Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers Paul Sporer Tampa Bay Rays Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks

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